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Australia's business conditions dip in September 2023: NAB survey

10 Oct '23
2 min read
Pic: Shutterstock
Pic: Shutterstock

Insights

  • Australia's business conditions dropped in September 2023, with a decline of 3 points, as per NAB's survey.
  • While industries like retail saw reductions, overall conditions remained stable.
  • Business confidence held steady, and despite a decrease in price growth, forward orders and capacity utilisation showed positive signs in September 2023.
Australia’s business conditions have seen a decline in September 2023, dropping 3 points to 11 index points, according to the latest National Australia Bank (NAB) Monthly Business Survey. This reverses the slight uptick witnessed in August. The sub-components contributing to this include trading conditions (down 3 points), profitability (down 5 points), and the employment index (down 1 point). Despite this decline, all these factors remain above their historical average.

Several industries witnessed substantial drops in their conditions. Transport and utilities descended 13 points, while retail also faced declining conditions, dropping 9 points. However, on a positive note, the overall conditions seem to remain stable across industries.

When viewed by state, Queensland recorded a significant dip in conditions, falling 16 points. Other mainland states also experienced decreases, though not as pronounced, while Tasmania saw a slight improvement during the month. In terms of trend, conditions remain resilient across the states, with figures ranging between 10-14 index points. Tasmania stood out with an impressive 17 index points, as per the survey.

Business confidence remained unchanged at 1 index point, a figure it has maintained for multiple months. Retail showcased an improved confidence level, rising by 7 points. Notably, even with a bounce in Tasmania, the confidence there continues to be negative in trend terms.

The survey also highlighted some enhancements in leading indicators. Forward orders made a comeback into the positive domain, increasing by 2 points to settle at 2 index points, after a dip into the negative territory earlier in the year. Capacity utilisation saw a slight drop but remains solid at 84.2 per cent.

Lastly, the survey touched upon price and cost growth, which witnessed a decrease during September. Labour cost growth settled at 2 per cent in quarterly equivalent terms, with purchase cost growth receding to 1.8 per cent. Overall price growth also took a step back, coming in at 1 per cent. In specific sectors, retail price growth remained stagnant at 1.8 per cent.

ALCHEMPro News Desk (DP)

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