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Germany's manufacturing sector on upward trend for 2023

04 May '23
1 min read
Pic: Shutterstock/Alba_alioth
Pic: Shutterstock/Alba_alioth

Insights

  • Germany's manufacturing sector is expected to continue its upward trend for 2023.
  • Consumer spending is likely to recover slowly due to high inflation, despite rising incomes from wage increases and inflation bonuses.
  • The ifo Institute notes a division in the German economy, with manufacturers benefiting from lower energy prices and eased supply bottlenecks
For Germany’s manufacturing sector, the upward trend is likely to continue for the rest of the year. The business climate has already improved six times in a row and is now in positive territory. Order books are full to bursting, and the gradual revival of the global economy will continue to boost new orders. 

Consumer spending will only recover slowly. While income growth of private households is accelerating, because collectively agreed wages are being raised and inflation bonuses are being paid out, inflation is likely to remain stubbornly high in the months ahead. Real wages are therefore unlikely to rise until the second half of the year. Even though sentiment among consumer-related service providers and retailers was improving until recently, for the majority of them it is still negative, ifo Institute said in a press release.

Timo Wollmershauser, head of forecasts at ifo, said: “The German economy is divided at the start of the year. On the one hand, manufacturers are benefiting from easing supply bottlenecks as well as lower energy prices, and they are now on course for growth. On the other hand, high inflation is eroding the purchasing power of private households and causing consumption to shrink.”

ALCHEMPro News Desk (NB)

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