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ADB further reduces Bangladesh's FY26 growth forecast to 4.7%

14 Dec '25
1 min read
ADB further reduces Bangladesh's FY26 growth forecast to 4.7%
Pic: Shutterstock

Insights

  • ADB has lowered Bangladesh's FY26 growth forecast again to 4.7 per cent from 5 per cent in September, citing sluggish investment before polls and slower growth in export earnings.
  • "The lower forecast reflects weaker-than-expected export performance and greater investment uncertainty due to the upcoming national elections in February," it said.
  • Financial sector weaknesses also contributed to the revision.
The Asian Development Bank (ADB) recently revised down its fiscal 2025-26 (FY26) economic growth forecast for Bangladesh for the second time to 4.7 per cent from 5 per cent in September, citing sluggish investment ahead of elections and slower growth in export earnings.

In April, ADB had projected a 5.1-per cent growth for the fiscal.

"The lower forecast reflects weaker-than-expected export performance and greater investment uncertainty due to the upcoming national elections in February," the ADB said in its report ‘Economic Forecast for Asia and the Pacific: December’.

Financial sector weaknesses also contributed to the downward revision, it noted.

Exports have been hit not only by subdued global demand, but also by supply disruptions caused by a major strike at Chattogram Port in October, which handles more than nine-tenths of the country’s imports and exports.

Exports grew only by 0.62 per cent in the July-November period of FY26 compared to 11.76 per cent during the corresponding period in the last fiscal, according to the Export Promotion Bureau.

Private sector credit growth slowed to 6.23 per cent in October from 6.29 per cent in September, marking the slowest pace in at least 20 years.

ALCHEMPro News Desk (DS)

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