Home breadcru News breadcru Economics breadcru ADB lifts Vietnam 2025 growth forecast to 7.4%

ADB lifts Vietnam 2025 growth forecast to 7.4%

15 Dec '25
2 min read
 ADB lifts Vietnam 2025 growth forecast to 7.4%
Pic: Shutterstock

Insights

  • ADB has upgraded Vietnam's 2025 GDP growth forecast to 7.4 per cent, citing stronger exports and sustained foreign investment.
  • The 2026 outlook was also raised to 6.4 per cent.
  • Improved public investment and infrastructure reforms are supporting momentum, although risks remain.
  • Inflation is expected to stay within target.
Vietnam’s GDP growth for 2025 is forecast at 7.4 per cent, up from 6.7 per cent in September 2025, citing stronger-than-expected export growth and sustained foreign direct investment in Q3 2025. Growth in 2026 is now projected at 6.4 per cent, up from 6 per cent, according to the Asian Development Outlook (ADO) December 2025 report.

The export-led manufacturing sector continues to benefit from resilient external demand, while robust performance in domestic services is supporting overall economic momentum. Improved public investment disbursement and reforms focused on national priority transport projects are also expected to boost activity in the coming months, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) said in the report.

However, the bank cautioned that risks remain, including natural hazards, currency depreciation, moderate domestic consumption, and external uncertainties, underscoring the need for continued policy vigilance.

Inflation forecasts were unchanged at 3.9 per cent for 2025 and 3.8 per cent for 2026, remaining within the government’s target range. However, headline inflation year on year in October rose to 3.3 per cent from 2.9 per cent a year earlier.

ADB also raised Southeast Asia’s growth outlook to 4.5 per cent for 2025 and 4.4 per cent for 2026, reflecting strong Q3 performance across several major economies, including Vietnam.

ALCHEMPro News Desk (HU)

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