Home breadcru News breadcru Industrial breadcru Consumer sectors in Germany expect lower price hikes: ifo Institute

Consumer sectors in Germany expect lower price hikes: ifo Institute

02 Nov '23
2 min read
Pic: Adobe Stock/THINK b
Pic: Adobe Stock/THINK b

Insights

  • In October 2023, Germany saw a decline in the number of companies expecting price rises, with the expectation index falling to 15.3 from 15.7 points in September.
  • The drop was most pronounced in consumer sectors, with non-food retailers and other sectors reporting lower expectations.
  • Manufacturing showed a slight increase in price expectations.
In Germany, fewer companies are expecting prices to rise in the months ahead. Price expectations fell to 15.3 points in October 2023, down from 15.7 points in September. The most noticeable drop was in consumer-related industries. Among non-food retailers, the balance fell from 31.8 points to 28.3 points, and among other sectors from 35.1 points to 29.3 points, as per the ifo Institute.

In manufacturing, slightly more companies are expecting price increases than in the previous month. That indicator rose a little from 4.6 points to 6.2 points. While energy-intensive industries expect to continue to lower prices at -19.5 points, up from -19.9 points, the remaining manufacturers expect to raise prices more quickly again at 12.4 points, up from 9.9 points, ifo Institute said in a press releasse.

The points for the ifo price expectations indicate the percentage of companies that intend to increase prices on balance. The balance is obtained by subtracting the percentage of companies that want to lower their prices from the percentage of those that want to raise their prices. If all the companies surveyed intended to increase their prices, the balance would be 100 points. If they all wanted to lower their prices, it would be -100. The balance was seasonally adjusted.

“This means that consumer prices will still continue to rise. However, the pace will ease off and with it inflation,” said Timo Wollmershauser, head of forecasts at ifo.

ALCHEMPro News Desk (NB)

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