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Early shoppers, steady economic growth to boost US holiday sales: NRF

08 Dec '24
2 min read
Early shoppers, steady economic growth to boost US holiday sales: NRF
Pic: Adobe Stock

Insights

  • NRF has expressed confidence in a robust holiday retail season in the US, despite a shorter shopping period due to a late Thanksgiving.
  • Jack Kleinhenz, NRF chief economist, cited strong third-quarter economic performances and early shopping trends as positive indicators.
  • Retail sales in the country are projected to rise by 2.5 to 3.5 per cent over 2023.
Strong results during the third quarter and continued growth in key economic data since then have set the stage for a solid holiday season in the US, National Retail Federation (NRF) chief economist Jack Kleinhenz has said.

With a late Thanksgiving this year cutting the shopping period short by five days compared to last year, many consumers got a head start on their holiday purchases. The NRF maintains its holiday season growth forecast with retail sales expected to increase by 2.5 to 3.5 per cent over 2023.

"Shoppers have already been busy since the start of November, setting the stage for a successful holiday retail period," Kleinhenz stated, highlighting that nearly 200 million people participated in shopping events from Thanksgiving through Cyber Monday.

US economic indicators remain strong, with third-quarter GDP growth at 2.8 per cent and personal consumption rising by 3.5 per cent year-over-year. Despite a slight lag in gross domestic income growth at 2.2 per cent, neither metric suggests a halt in economic growth, with a projected fourth-quarter GDP increase of 2 per cent, the NRF said in a press release.

Employment figures in October were modest due to impacts from hurricanes and labour strikes, yet unemployment stayed stable at 4.1 per cent, and consumer spending continues to be resilient. Increases in disposable income and employee compensation further support sustained consumer spending, which climbed by 5.4 per cent in October. Additionally, inflation is nearing the Federal Reserve's target, providing further optimism for the retail sector during the holiday season.

ALCHEMPro News Desk (KD)

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