Home breadcru News breadcru Announcement breadcru More US consumers plan to start holiday shopping earlier: Circana

More US consumers plan to start holiday shopping earlier: Circana

15 Nov '25
3 min read
More US consumers plan to start holiday shopping earlier: Circana
Pic: Shutterstock

Insights

  • Nearly half of consumers in the US plan to start holiday shopping earlier this year, with 47.6 per cent intending to begin before Thanksgiving and late-season shopping falling to a 4-year low.
  • Black Friday remains the top deal day, while 37 per cent of shoppers aim to buy more discounted items.
  • Consumers are prioritising value and planning purchases carefully rather than shopping impulsively.
Nearly half (44 per cent) of consumers in the US said they plan on starting their shopping earlier in the season than they normally would, according to the annual holiday purchase intentions consumer survey from Circana. Consumers have indicated that the 2025 holiday shopping season may bring an increase in earlier retail sales compared to last year. More holiday shoppers plan to get started on their purchases before Thanksgiving than last year. 

“Today’s consumer is more focused on planning and prioritising on their quest for value,” said Marshal Cohen, chief retail advisor for Circana. “Getting an earlier start on holiday shopping gives them more control and choice when it comes to making a purchase decision, rather than feeling the pressure of filling a last-minute need.”

Intentions to start holiday shopping before Thanksgiving have returned to the level of those shared ahead of the 2023 holiday season (47.6 per cent), an increase from last year’s dip to 44.8 per cent. Intentions for mid-season (Thanksgiving, Black Friday, Thanksgiving weekend, and Cyber Monday) and late-season shopping starts both declined. However, those last-minute shoppers who plan on waiting until early December or later to start their holiday shopping are at the lowest level in four years (19.2 per cent).

While the majority of consumers plan on starting their holiday shopping early in the season, 19 per cent have their sights set on Black Friday as their holiday shopping kickoff day. In 2024, Black Friday maintained its position as the top shopping day in Q4 across both physical and digital retail. Again this year, Black Friday was identified by the largest share of consumers (23 per cent) as the time they expect to find the best deals for holiday shopping.

Promotions will have a more significant influence on holiday shopping this year, with 37 per cent of holiday shoppers indicating that they will buy more items that are on sale or promotion to save money. However, early season promotions exposed a by-product of expected sales events: The anticipation of such promotional periods triggers a wait-and-see mode among shoppers that creates purchasing pullback in advance of the promotion itself.

“Even with lower prices, consumers have become less impulsive – doubling down on their ‘need now, buy now’ mindset,” added Cohen. “Marketers need to continue to assess ways to achieve dynamic success with consumers by making their brand, their store, a destination that hits the mark on product and value at the right time.”

ALCHEMPro News Desk (RR)

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