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UK's consumer confidence slips ahead of November budget

23 Sep '25
2 min read
UK's consumer confidence slips ahead of November budget
Pic: Shutterstock

Insights

  • UK consumer confidence fell in September, with GfK's Overall Index Score dropping two points to -19 as all 5 measures declined.
  • Personal finance sentiment weakened MoM but stayed stronger YoY.
  • Economic outlook for the next 12 months worsened sharply to -32.
  • Major purchase and saving intentions also fell, raising concerns that confidence could drop further ahead of expected November tax rises.
The Consumer Confidence Index in the UK decreased by two points to -19 in September. All measures were down in comparison to last month’s announcement, according to the current findings of the GfK Consumer Confidence Barometer (CCB).

The CCB has been published jointly by GfK and the Nuremberg Institute for Market Decisions (NIM), the founder of GfK, since October 2023.

“There’s an autumnal chill in the air this month, with all five measures of consumer confidence down and the Overall Index Score for September slipping two points from -17 to -19. The August 7th decrease in interest rates does not appear to have provided any obvious boost to the financial mood of consumers or drawn attention away from day-to-day cost issues,” Neil Bellamy, consumer insights director at GfK, an NIQ Company, said.

“Both personal finance measures – past and future – are lower, while our major purchases measure has dropped three points to -16. Even more striking is an eight-point fall in saving intentions. Looking at the economy, sentiment is sliding sharply: in June 2024 our forward-looking measure stood at -11, but just 15 months later it has slumped to -32. Perceptions of the past year remain weak too, down three from last month to -45. With tax rises expected in the November budget, the risk is that confidence inevitably falls, just like the autumn leaves,” explained Bellamy.

The Overall Index Score fell two points to -19 in September, with declines across all measures. Personal finance sentiment dropped slightly, though still improved year-on-year. Views on the general economic situation worsened both short- and long-term compared to 2024. The Major Purchase Index fell three points but remains higher than last year. The Savings Index also declined by eight points to +22, just below September 2024 levels.

ALCHEMPro News Desk (RR)

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