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UK's Next upgrades FY26 guidance on resilient UK & online demand

07 Jan '26
2 min read
UK's Next upgrades FY26 guidance on resilient UK & online demand
Pic: Shutterstock/Stefan_Sutka

Insights

  • Next plc has raised its FY26 outlook after stronger-than-expected Christmas trading, driven by resilient UK demand and robust international online growth.
  • Full price sales for 2025-26 are forecast at £5.6 billion (~$7.56 billion), up 10.7 per cent, with group sales reaching £6.97 billion (~$9.41 billion).
  • A 53rd trading week is expected to add £22 million (~$29.7 million) to profit before tax.
British clothing and footwear retailer Next plc has upgraded its full-year outlook for the year ending January 31, 2026 after stronger-than-expected Christmas trading, supported by resilient UK demand and robust international online growth, with full price sales for 2025-26 now forecast at £5.6 billion (~$7.56 billion), up 10.7 per cent year on year (YoY), total group sales expected to reach £6.97 billion (~$9.41 billion), up 10.3 per cent, and the inclusion of a 53rd trading week anticipated to contribute around £22 million (~$29.7 million) to profit before tax and approximately £20 million to cash flow.

Looking ahead, Next issued its initial guidance for the year ending January 2027, forecasting a moderation in growth. Full price sales are expected to rise 4.5 per cent to £5.86 billion, while group profit before tax is forecast at £1.20 billion, up 4.5 per cent. Post-tax earnings per share (EPS) is expected to grow 4.3 per cent, assuming no share buybacks.

Total group sales growth of 4.2 per cent is lower than full price sales growth of 4.5 per cent, mainly due to markdown sales not growing as quickly, Next said in a press release.

UK sales growth is forecast at 1.6 per cent, reflecting tougher comparatives, easing benefits from favourable weather and competitor disruption, and ongoing pressure on UK employment. International online sales are still expected to grow strongly at 16.5 per cent, although below the exceptional levels seen in the current year as marketing investment growth moderates.

Assuming no acquisitions, Next expects £768 million to be available for shareholder distributions in 2026-27, including ordinary dividends and capital returns, representing 4.8 per cent of its current market capitalisation. Combined with forecast EPS growth, this would deliver a total shareholder return of around 9.1 per cent, assuming a constant price-to-earnings ratio.

Next is scheduled to announce its full-year results for the year ending January 31, 2026, on March 26, 2026, added the release.

ALCHEMPro News Desk (SG)

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