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Hope of inflation among Turkish market players, bizs falls quite low

30 Jul '25
1 min read
Hope of inflation among Turkish market players, bizs falls quite low
Pic: Adobe Stock

Insights

  • Inflation expectations in Turkiye for the next 12 months fell to 23.4 per cent among market participants—the lowest in 43 months.
  • However, household expectations rose to 54.5 per cent.
  • The share of households anticipating a decline in inflation dropped to 26.6 per cent.
  • Annual inflation slowed to 35 per cent in June, with the central bank projecting year-end inflation between 19 and 29 per cent.
Inflation expectations in the next 12 months among market participants and businesses in Turkiye fell by 1.2 percentage points (pps) to 23.4 per cent in July this year, according to a survey by the central bank (CBRT).

"Market participants' expectation for inflation in 12 months time has fallen to 23.4 per cent, the lowest level in 43 months," Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet Simsek wrote on social media platform X.

However, household expectations rose by 1.5 pps to 54.5 per cent.

The share of households expecting inflation to fall over the next 12 months dropped by 4.1 pps to 26.6 per cent, according to domestic media reports.

Turkish annual consumer price inflation slowed to 35 per cent in June, from a peak of around 75 per cent in May 2024. The central bank's year-end inflation mid-point estimate now stands at 24 per cent, in a forecast range of 19-29 per cent.

The government expects inflation to end the year "within the central bank's midpoint to high forecast range,” Simsek said recently. “We expect a figure below 29 per cent."

ALCHEMPro News Desk (DS)

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