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Brazilian cotton market sees price surge in early July

20 Jul '23
2 min read
Pic: Shutterstock
Pic: Shutterstock

Insights

  • Brazil's cotton prices rose in early July, rebounding from the lowest levels since October 2020.
  • This increase came after domestic prices fell below export rates, triggering sellers to retreat from the spot market.
  • Although the CEPEA/ESALQ Index recorded an increase from late June to mid-July, domestic cotton prices remained lower than the export value.
Cotton prices in Brazil have seen a significant surge in the first fortnight of July, rebounding from their lowest levels since October 2020, according to a report released by Center for Advanced Studies on Applied Economics (CEPEA) of ESALQ (Luiz de Queiroz College of Agriculture), University of São Paulo. The price surge comes after the value of domestic cotton fell below export prices, creating a 9 per cent disparity on July 6.

In reaction to this, several sellers retreated from the national spot market, hoping for prices to rise before they engage in new transactions. Harvesting operations progressed as the market lay low, with a significant reduction in wholesale dealings due to low purchasing volumes, which have been attributed to the slow sales of finished products, CEPEA said in its latest fortnightly report on the Brazilian cotton market.

The CEPEA/ESALQ Index, a measure of cotton prices in Brazil, dropped by 12.51 per cent in June. However, it has since increased by 5.77 per cent between June 30 and July 14, closing at BRL 3.8061 per pound on July 14. Despite the increase, domestic cotton prices in the first half of July still averaged 3.9 per cent lower than the export parity value.

Future trading trends suggest increased liquidity for exports. Occasional sales of the 2021-22 crop were recorded in the first half of July, while liquidity is expected to rise for the 2022-23 and 2023-24 seasons. Prices were set or based on the ICE Futures Index.

ALCHEMPro News Desk (KD)

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