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Germany's economic expectations strengthen as ZEW index rises in Dec

17 Dec '25
2 min read
Germany's economic expectations strengthen as ZEW index rises in Dec
Pic: Shutterstock

Insights

  • Germany's economic sentiment strengthened in December 2025, with the ZEW expectations index rising 7.3 points to plus 45.8, signalling growing optimism about a recovery.
  • However, the current situation indicator slipped 2.3 points to minus 81, highlighting ongoing near-term weakness.
  • The confidence is supported by expansive fiscal policy, although recovery prospects remain fragile amid trade tensions.
Germany’s economic outlook improved further in December 2025, with the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment rising to plus 45.8 points, up 7.3 points from November. The increase reflects growing optimism among financial market experts about the country’s economic prospects in the coming months.

Despite stronger expectations, assessments of current conditions weakened slightly. The ZEW indicator measuring Germany’s present economic situation fell by 2.3 points month on month to minus 81 points, underlining the continued strain on near-term activity, ZEW said in a press release.

The divergence between improving expectations and a still weak current assessment suggests confidence in a gradual recovery ahead, even as Germany continues to face subdued economic conditions in the short term.

“Expectations have become more positive. After three years of economic stagnation, chances for a recovery of the economy are good and this is reflected in the sentiment. The expansive fiscal policy will provide new momentum to the German economy. However, the recovery remains fragile. Measures for dealing with persistent trade conflicts, geopolitical tensions and the absence of investments are likely to figure on the reform agenda for 2026 as well,” said Achim Wambach, president professor at ZEW and PhD on the most recent survey results.

The expectations for the eurozone—currently at plus 33.7 points—have risen by plus 8.7 points compared to the previous month’s value. The improvement is therefore greater than the one for Germany. In contrast, the assessment of the economic situation has remained practically unchanged and are now at minus 28.5 points, -1.2 points below the previous month’s reading, added the release.

ALCHEMPro News Desk (SG)

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