The LEI, a predictive measure designed to anticipate turning points in the business cycle, also contracted by 0.2 per cent over the six-month period from October 2024 to April 2025—marking a slowdown compared to the 0.9 per cent decline in the preceding six months, The Conference Board said in a press release.
In contrast, Coincident Economic Index (CEI), which tracks current economic activity, declined slightly by 0.1 per cent in April to 103.6 (2016=100), following a 0.3 per cent increase in March. However, on a six-month basis, the CEI edged up by 0.1 per cent—an improvement over the 0.4 per cent drop recorded between April and October 2024.
The LEI’s decline was influenced by weakness across several indicators, including new orders for investment goods and softening consumer confidence. Meanwhile, the CEI was supported by stable trends in industrial production and employment.
Together, the LEI and CEI suggest that while the German economy continues to stabilise, significant headwinds remain.
ALCHEMPro News Desk (SG)
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