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India's economic growth eases to 9.5% in Sept 2023: ICRA

19 Oct '23
2 min read
Pic: Adobe Stock
Pic: Adobe Stock

Insights

  • India's economic growth eased to 9.5 per cent in September 2023, down from a six-month high of 10.6 per cent in August 2023, according to the ICRA Business Activity Monitor.
  • Despite a surge in quarterly growth due to patchy monsoon and robust domestic demand, ICRA projects a slowdown in GDP to 7 per cent in the second quarter of financial year 2024.
India’s year-on-year (YoY) growth in economic activity has eased to 9.5 per cent in September 2023, according to the ICRA Business Activity Monitor, an Index of high-frequency indicators. This is a decline from the six-month high of 10.6 per cent observed in August 2023. The index points towards a sequential decline in September, attributing it partially to the resumption of monsoon rainfall after a lull in August.

In quarterly terms, the YoY growth in the index saw an increase, rising to 9.5 per cent in the second quarter (Q2) of financial year 2024 (FY24) from 7.2 per cent in Q1 FY24. This surge is attributed to the favourable impact of a patchy monsoon and resilient domestic demand. Despite this, ICRA projects a slowing down of GDP expansion to 7 per cent in Q2 FY24, down from 7.8 per cent in Q1 FY24.

The projected GDP growth for Q2 FY24 surpasses the Monetary Policy Committee’s (MPC) estimate, which stood at 6.5 per cent for the quarter. This indicates a more optimistic outlook than initially expected by financial policymakers.

The early trends for economic activity in October 2023 are reported to be mixed. This is partly due to the late onset of the festive season in 2023 relative to 2022, which could influence spending and business activity differently compared to previous years.

ALCHEMPro News Desk (DP)

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