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Inflation in India to average at 5.6% in Q3, 5% in Q4 in FY25: Ind-Ra

12 Dec '24
1 min read
Inflation in India to average at 5.6% in Q3, 5% in Q4 in FY25: Ind-Ra
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Insights

  • Ind-Ra expects inflation in India to average at 5.6 per cent and 5 per cent in Q3 and Q4 respectively in FY25.
  • The headline retail inflation is expected to head closer to 4 per cent from end-FY25.
  • It expects the index of industrial production growth to have inched up to around 4 per cent YoY in October owing to the pick-up in the core sector output and improvement in manufacturing sector output.
India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) expects inflation in India to average at 5.6 per cent and 5 per cent in the third quarter (Q3) and Q4 respectively in fiscal 2024-25 (FY25).

The headline retail inflation is expected to head closer to 4 per cent from end-FY25, it noted in a release.

Ind-Ra expects the index of industrial production (IIP) growth to have inched up to around 4 per cent year on year (YoY) in October this year owing to the pick-up in the core sector output and improvement in manufacturing sector output.

The expected pickup in capital expenditure spending by the central government in the second half of this fiscal, positive rabi crop prospects, steady services activity and revival of industrial sector activity would help push up GDP growth in the half.

ALCHEMPro News Desk (DS)

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