The consumer price index-based retail inflation witnessed a significant rise in July to 7.44 per cent from 4.87 per cent in June.
"While core inflation witnessed a moderation, headline inflation is expected to average well above 6 per cent in the second quarter," the article, authored by a team led by RBI deputy governor Michael Debabrata Patra, said.
With industrial production and trade weakening, the global recovery is slowing after a robust Q1 FY24 performance.
Domestic drivers such as private consumption and fixed investment are offsetting the drag from the contraction in exports, it added.
ALCHEMPro News Desk (DS)
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