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UK slips into technical recession; trade & FTA negotiations at risk

22 Feb '24
6 min read
Pic: Adobe Stock
Pic: Adobe Stock

Insights

  • UK enters technical recession amid global economic challenges, impacting trade negotiations and imports.
  • Factors include Russia-Ukraine war, high inflation, and labour market weaknesses.
  • Recession signals potential trade disruptions.
  • Close GDP-trade relationship evident; UK-India FTA may face delay.
  • India's resilience contrasts with UK's downturn.

Reasons for the downfall

Europe and the US are facing immense pressure due to a variety of conditions—both international and unique domestic factors that impact the functioning of their economies. Europe, on the other hand, has become one of the most vulnerable economies due to the Russia-Ukraine war and the increasing cost of living in those countries caused by a strain in the supply of gas from Russia. Additionally, the UK economy is under stress due to persistently high inflation, structural weaknesses in the labour market, and low manufacturing growth, which in turn have affected instrumental sectors of the economy such as construction and services. The significant sanctions imposed on Russia have placed countries in the European region under economic strain. The UK is the first country to collapse in Europe, while Germany is also at risk of entering a recession. UK&#**;s GDP contracted by *.* per cent in the third quarter of **** and by *.* per cent in the fourth quarter.

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