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Global risks may affect Asian economies

02 May '06
2 min read

International Monetary Funs has just released the Regional Economic Outlook under the World Economic & Financial Surveys for Asia and Pacific

As per its executive summary for Asia:

• The year 2006 is expected to be another good one for Asia.
Growth for the region is forecast at 7 percent, the same as
last year but higher than the 6 percent expected at the
time of the August Asia-Pacific Regional Economic Outlook.

• Japan's recovery continues apace, with domestic demand
strengthening on the back of robust corporate investment
and a firming labor market, which is stimulating household
incomes and consumption.

• Meanwhile, economies in emerging Asia are benefiting from a
surge in external demand for the region's products,
particularly electronics, which is expected to continue.
And while domestic demand had long been tepid—China and
India excepted—it has been gaining traction since early
2005.

• Asian economies could be affected by several global risks:

? High oil prices. Rising oil bills have so far had a
moderate effect on Asia's growth, but this may change going
forward, especially as concerns about future supply—rather
than unexpected increases in demand—have become the prime
mover of prices.

? Tightening financial market conditions. Financial markets
in the region will likely be tested as globalliquidity

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