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Is a US-India deal on the cards as China tensions escalate?

14 Oct '25
5 min read
Is a US-India deal on the cards as China tensions escalate?
Pic: Shutterstock

Insights

  • India's business circles sense a strategic opening as trade talks with the US gain momentum amidst positive signals from both Prime Minister Modi and President Trump, boosting hopes of a near-term breakthrough in bilateral trade, even as China-US trade tensions have ignited again.
  • With China under pressure, industry leaders believe India could emerge as a vital alternative.

The escalation, marked by Beijing’s abrupt imposition of new export controls on rare earth elements—prompting what Trump condemned as a “very, very bad” move—has sharply tilted the balance of global manufacturing diplomacy.

Beijing announced new port fees on American ships and expanded export restrictions on lithium-ion batteries, along with rare earths and related technologies.

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