Home breadcru News breadcru Policy breadcru India's GDP growth forecast for FY22 unchanged at 9.5%: S&P Global

India's GDP growth forecast for FY22 unchanged at 9.5%: S&P Global

02 Dec '21
1 min read
Pic: Melies Melies | Dreamstime.com
Pic: Melies Melies | Dreamstime.com

S&P Global Ratings recently kept India's economic growth forecast unchanged at 9.5 per cent for this fiscal, but raised its predictions for the subsequent fiscal based on broadening out of the recovery. The economy had shrunk by 7.3 per cent in the last fiscal due to the pandemic. Rising inflation is a pressure point, unlike elsewhere in emerging Asia. But external demand continues to support growth.

It forecast a 7.8 per cent economic growth for fiscal 2022-23.

"India is learning to live with the virus. Following the peak in COVID-19 cases around mid-year, the stringency index has declined, mobility has recovered, and consumer and business confidence has improved," S&P Global Ratings said in a report.

Recent high-frequency indicators such as the October services purchasing managers' index reading of 58.4 suggest a strong recovery is under way, a news agency reported.

"The ongoing broadening out of the recovery suggests that permanent costs are likely to be lower, and as a result, we revise higher our growth forecast for the fiscal year ending March 2024 to 6.0 per cent from 5.7 per cent earlier," it added.

ALCHEMPro News Desk (DS)

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