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OECD projects German GDP to grow 0.4% in 2025, 1.2% in 2026

15 Jun '25
3 min read
OECD projects German GDP to grow 0.4% in 2025, 1.2% in 2026
Pic: Shutterstock

Insights

  • German GDP may grow by 0.4 per cent in 2025 and 1.2 per cent in 2026 and inflation there is likely to average 2.4 per cent in 2025 and 2.1 per cent in 2026, the OECD Economic Survey of Germany said.
  • Reforms are needed to unlock business dynamism and investment.
  • Administrative burdens for firms and regulatory barriers to competition should be removed and skilled labour shortages addressed, it said.
German gross domestic product (GDP) is projected to grow by 0.4 per cent in 2025 and 1.2 per cent in 2026 and inflation there is expected to average 2.4 per cent in 2025 and 2.1 per cent in 2026, according to the latest Economic Survey of Germany released by the Organisation for economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).

Germany’s economy has been resilient, but reforms are needed to unlock business dynamism and investment, the report noted.

Reducing administrative burdens for firms and regulatory barriers to competition while addressing skilled labour shortages will help revive economic growth and maintain high living standards across the country, an OECD release said citing the report.

The recent reform of fiscal rules will enable increases in defence spending and address a large infrastructure investment backlog.

To ensure medium-term fiscal sustainability, this reform should be combined with measures to raise spending efficiency, reallocate spending and broaden the tax base, while addressing rising spending pressures due to population ageing, the report suggested.

Phasing out fiscal incentives for early retirement, while improving working conditions and incentives for older workers to work longer, would help stabilise the pension system, it recommended.

“Continuing to accelerate structural reforms is key to revive Germany’s economic growth,” OECD secretary general Mathias Cormann said, launching the report in Berlin alongside German minister for economic affairs and energy Katherina Reiche.

“Combining the reform of fiscal rules with ambitious measures to reduce administrative burdens for firms and regulatory barriers to competition, and address skilled labour shortages, can spur greater business dynamism and boost productivity and growth,” he said.

Administrative burdens for firms could be alleviated through greater efforts to review, simplify and harmonise existing regulations and administrative procedures across levels of government. Greater adoption of digital tools in the public administration could also ease the burdens of business registration and administrative processes, the report noted.

To strengthen competition, occupational entry regulations and licensing requirements to open a business should be reduced.

Skilled labour shortages should be addressed by improving work incentives for women, and older and lower-income workers, as well as further reducing barriers to skilled migration and continuing to improve education and training policies, it noted.

Designing policies to help regions embrace structural change is important for maintaining high living standards across the country.

To unlock new opportunities for regions with slower growth and lower incomes, better coordination of placed-based, industrial and innovation policies is needed, the report added.

ALCHEMPro News Desk (DS)

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