Home breadcru News breadcru Policy breadcru Record hike in New Zealand's RBNZ interest rates, recession projected

Record hike in New Zealand's RBNZ interest rates, recession projected

23 Nov '22
2 min read
Pic: Shutterstock
Pic: Shutterstock

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) recently raised the official cash rate (OCR) by 75 basis points to 4.25 per cent and cautioned about the possibility of a 12-month recession period to bring sky-high inflation under control. The economy will start contracting in the second quarter of 2023 and continue declining until the first quarter of 2024, the bank projected.

“Core consumer price inflation is too high, employment is beyond its maximum sustainable level, and near-term inflation expectations have risen,” the bank said in a statement.

“The productive capacity of the economy is being constrained by broad-based labour shortages, and wage pressures are evident. Aggregate demand continues to outstrip New Zealand’s capacity to supply goods and services, with a range of indicators continuing to signify broad-based inflation pressure,” it said.

Minutes from a bank meeting showed it had even considered a full percentage point hike, a newswire reported.

"Inflation is no one's friend and in order to rid the country of inflation we need to reduce spending levels," RBNZ governor Adrian Orr told reporters. "That means that we will have a period of negative GDP growth."

The bank’s monetary policy committee members agreed that monetary conditions needed to continue to tighten further, so as to be confident there is sufficient restraint on spending to bring inflation back within its 1-3 percent per annum target range.

ALCHEMPro News Desk (DS)

Get Free Weekly Market Insights Newsletter

Receive daily prices and market insights straight to your inbox. Subscribe to AlchemPro Weekly!