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Vietnam GDP projected to grow 7.7% in Q1 2025, 6.7% in 2025: Report

07 Apr '25
2 min read
Vietnam GDP projected to grow 7.7% in Q1 2025, 6.7% in 2025: Report
Pic: Shutterstock

Insights

  • Vietnam's GDP is projected to grow strongly by 7.7 per cent in Q1 2025 from 7.6 per cent in Q4 2024, Standard Chartered Bank said in a report.
  • The 2025 GDP growth forecast remains at 6.7 per cent, with moderation expected in the second half.
  • Retail sales growth likely eased to 6.2 per cent in the month.
  • Export growth may have moderated to 8.2 per cent given a higher base.
Vietnam’s gross domestic product (GDP) is projected to grow strongly by 7.7 per cent in the first quarter (Q1) this year from 7.6 per cent in Q4 2024, Standard Chartered Bank said in its latest macroeconomic update on the country.

The 2025 GDP growth forecast remains at 6.7 per cent, with moderation expected in the second half.

The country’s economic outlook is backed by strong integration into global trade networks through multiple free trade agreements, along with continued foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows, according to the bank. These factors continue to strengthen the country's position in global production and exports, it noted.

Key economic indicators for March point to steady performance. Retail sales growth likely eased to 6.2 per cent in the month. Export growth may have moderated to 8.2 per cent given a higher base, domestic media outlets reported citing the bank’s document.

Imports and industrial production likely grew by 6 per cent and 6.2 per cent respectively. Inflation is expected to have reached 3.4 per cent in March from 2.9 per cent earlier. If inflationary pressures persist, they may pose challenges for monetary policy, the bank noted.

The country may consider flexible monetary policies to ensure resilient financial sector and navigate potential economic fluctuations, it added.

ALCHEMPro News Desk (DS)

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