This suggests that the recent surge in US imports, triggered by the temporary halt of higher US tariffs, is unlikely to have the lasting impact initially anticipated.
Freight rates from Shanghai to New York fell 10 per cent to $6,584 per 40-foot container over the past week. However, spot rates remain significantly higher—up 81 per cent compared to six weeks ago (May 8). Rates to Los Angeles dropped 20 per cent this week but have risen 73 per cent over the same six-week period.
Meanwhile, freight rates increased from Shanghai to Rotterdam by 12 per cent to $3,171, and from Shanghai to Genoa by 1 per cent to $4,075 per 40-foot container.
However, Drewry’s Container Forecaster expects the supply-demand balance to weaken again in the second half of the current year, likely causing spot rates to decline. The volatility and timing of rate changes will depend on the outcomes of legal challenges to Trump’s tariffs and on capacity shifts related to the introduction of US penalties on Chinese ships—factors that remain uncertain.
ALCHEMPro News Desk (KUL)
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