Home breadcru News breadcru Policy breadcru Trump's OBBBA to add $3.39 trn to primary debt from 2025 to 2034: CBO

Trump's OBBBA to add $3.39 trn to primary debt from 2025 to 2034: CBO

23 Jul '25
2 min read
Trump's OBBBA to add $3.39 trn to primary debt from 2025 to 2034: CBO
Pic: QINQIE99 / Shutterstock.com

Insights

  • The One Big Beautiful Bill Act would add $3.39 trillion to the US primary debt between 2025 and 2034, a report by the Congressional Budget Office said.
  • The latest CBO estimate is higher than its estimate of $3.25 trillion made at the end of June.
  • With interest, the tax and budget act would increase borrowing by an estimated $4.1 trillion, according to the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), signed into law on July 4, would add $3.39 trillion to the US primary debt between 2025 and 2034, according to a recent report by the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO).

The latest CBO estimate is higher than its estimate of $3.25 trillion made at the end of June. The increase is estimated to result from a decrease in direct spending of $1.1 trillion and a decrease in revenues of $4.5 trillion, CBO said.

With interest, the tax and budget act would increase borrowing by an estimated $4.1 trillion, according to Maya MacGuineas, president of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.

"It's still hard to believe that policymakers just added $4 trillion to the debt. Many supporters of this law have spent months or years appropriately fuming about our unsustainable fiscal situation. But when they actually had an opportunity to fix it, they instead made it $4 trillion worse," said MacGuineas in a statement.

“Modelers from across the ideological spectrum universally agree that any sustained economic benefits are likely to be modest, or negative, and not one serious estimate claims this bill will improve our financial situation,” she said.

As of mid-2025, the US national debt stands at over $36.2 trillion, and the debt-to-gross domestic product ratio has exceeded its peak during World War II.

President Donald Trump signed the bill into law after weeks of debate among congressional Republicans. The bill passed the Senate 51-50 before it passed the House of Representatives 218-214.

Democrats have universally criticised the bill.

ALCHEMPro News Desk (DS)

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