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UK manufacturing sector ends 2023 on decline, PMI shows contraction

04 Jan '24
2 min read
Pic: Adobe Stock
Pic: Adobe Stock

Insights

  • The manufacturing sector of the UK ended 2023 on a decline, with the PMI at 46.2, marking 17 months of contraction.
  • Production and employment fell amid reduced domestic and export demand.
  • New export business also declined, particularly from key markets like the US, mainland China, Europe, and Canada.
  • Business confidence hit a 12-month low.
The UK's manufacturing sector concluded 2023 with an intensified downturn in production as the S&P Global UK Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) dropped to 46.2 in December, marking a continual contraction for the seventeenth month.

The decline was attributed to reduced intakes of new work from both domestic and export clients, leading to a tenth consecutive month of production decrease. The sector saw job losses for the fifteenth month, driven by redundancies, efficiency gains, and hiring freezes due to reduced demand and cost caution, S&P Global said in a news release.

New export business also continued to decline, notably affected by lower demand from key trading partners, including the US, mainland China, Europe, and Canada, although the rate of decrease showed some signs of easing. Despite the downturn, manufacturers reported a slow rate of contraction in new orders and expressed modest optimism for the coming year, fuelled by anticipated sales drives and new product launches. However, business optimism has dipped to a 12-month low, reflecting wider economic concerns and high interest rates.

Rob Dobson, director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said: “UK manufacturing output contracted at an increased rate at the end of 2023. The demand backdrop also remains frosty, with new orders sinking further as conditions remain tough in both the domestic market and in key export markets, notably the EU. The downturn has hit manufacturers' confidence, which dipped to its lowest level in a year, and encouraged renewed cost caution with further cutbacks to stock levels, purchasing and employment.

“With concerns about high interest rates and the cost-of-living crisis hurting demand, the outlook for manufacturers in the months ahead remains decidedly gloomy. The downturn in demand is having some positive effects on supply chains, however, with suppliers reducing their prices for raw materials and vendor lead times showing a further improvement.”

ALCHEMPro News Desk (KD)

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